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2024-12-14 12:37:04

Inflation data released the Fed's interest rate cut in December, but it lit up a yellow light for next year. The latest inflation data may make the Fed more cautious about the pace of interest rate cut, but not now. The latest report shows that inflation in the United States in November was in line with expectations, so investors still generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. However, stubborn price pressure also confirms the concern that the progress towards the Fed's 2% target may stagnate. This concern may prompt officials to be more restrained in predicting the number of interest rate cuts in 2025, while waiting for more evidence that inflation will steadily reach the target. Fed policymakers will release new forecasts and interest rate outlook at the end of the policy meeting in Washington on December 17-18. "I think they can safely cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. The market is ready for this, "said Loretta Mester, former president of Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank. "However, they must reconsider next year, because now it seems that the progress of inflation has really stagnated."Ferrous lithium phosphate has strong demand, so it is hard to hide the embarrassment of "meager profit" because the orders of enterprises are full. In December, the Ferrous lithium phosphate market continued to heat up, and most enterprises had full orders. However, contrary to the fiery market, it is still difficult for most enterprises to reverse the "meager profit" situation. "From the market situation, the growth in demand for new energy vehicles and energy storage markets has promoted the warming of the Ferrous lithium phosphate market. Most Ferrous lithium phosphate enterprises are affected by factors such as rising raw material prices, weak bargaining power of products and fierce competition in the industry, resulting in pressure on profits. " Researchers said that in the long run, with the technological progress and market expansion, the profitability of Ferrous lithium phosphate enterprises is expected to improve. (Securities Daily)The yield of 20/30-year US Treasury bonds rose by more than 5 basis points on the release date of US CPI inflation data. Investors also paid attention to oil prices and Yellen's new debt supply. At the end of new york on Wednesday (December 11), the yield of US 10-year benchmark government bonds rose by 3.89 basis points to 4.2652%. After the release of US CPI inflation data at 21:30 Beijing time, it plunged significantly and refreshed at 22:41 (the beginning of US stock market). Then it rebounded, and the results released at 02:00 showed that the auction of 10-year US bonds was strong, the bid multiple reached a new high since 2016, and the yield reached 4.2750% at 03:00. The yield of two-year US bonds rose by 1.02 basis points to 4.1532%, and reached 4.1741% at 21:17 (less than a quarter of an hour before the release of the US CPI data). After the data was released, it plunged, and reached 4.0969% at 22:41, and then gradually rebounded.


Public offerings frequently employ conservative products of fund managers to seek attack. Driven by the positive sentiment in the stock market, many fund companies have recently strengthened the "share" of products and the layout of specific tracks by hiring more aggressive fund managers. In the announcements of hiring fund managers by many fund companies, the importance of product "stock" and high flexibility track is highlighted. For example, some conservative funds hire fund managers who like high positions, some funds who buy dividend resources stocks hire internet fund managers, and some funds hope to strengthen the layout of hard technology and hire semiconductor fund managers. The insiders believe that Public Offering of Fund's offensive features in hiring more fund managers are related to his judgment on the positive rebound in the stock market. Many fund companies stressed that even if the market outlook index is average, structural opportunities will be highlighted and the profit-making effect will not decrease, which may be a market feature for a long time to come. (Securities Times)Hungarian Prime Minister: Zelensky explicitly rejected the ceasefire on December 25th. Hungarian Prime Minister Orban said on the 11th local time that Ukrainian President Zelensky explicitly rejected the proposal of a ceasefire on December 25th. "Hungary's rotating presidency of the European Union came to an end, and we made the latest efforts for peace, proposing a ceasefire on December 25th and conducting a large-scale exchange of prisoners of war. Zelensky explicitly rejected and ruled out this possibility ". Hungarian Foreign Minister Jardot said on the same day that Orban mentioned the proposal of ceasefire and exchange of prisoners of war when talking with Putin, but Kiev rejected this proposal. It is said that the Hungarian government contacted Ukrainian Foreign Minister Sibiga and Ukrainian President's Office Director Ermak.Argentina's MERVAL index closed up 3.94% to 2.288 million points.


The consumption potential of the trade-in policy continued to be released. According to the VAT invoice data released by State Taxation Administration of The People's Republic of China on December 11th, from January to November, the retail sales revenue of household audio-visual equipment such as televisions and household appliances such as refrigerators increased by 15.9% and 18.7% respectively. The sales revenue of furniture retailing and sanitary ware retailing increased by 16.8% and 12.5% respectively. Experts said that recent data from various aspects show that the effect of the trade-in policy for consumer goods has appeared and the consumption potential has been continuously released. In the next stage, with the continuous expansion of the coverage of the "two new" policies and the recent package of economic incremental policies, the policy effect is expected to be further revealed. (CSI)Trump's NASA candidate called his future SpaceX mission a "question mark". On Wednesday, Jared Isaacman, a billionaire in science and technology, who was selected by President-elect Trump, said that his planned private astronaut mission with Musk's SpaceX company "may be put on hold" because he was ready to enter the government to lead NASA.The US government budget in November was-367 billion US dollars, with an expected-353 billion US dollars and a previous value of-257.5 billion US dollars.

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